Lecture videos: Difference between revisions
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== | == The Purpose and Limitations of Science == | ||
=== Introduction and When Is Science Relevant === | |||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/LGsn9sq0D_s</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/LGsn9sq0D_s</youtube> | ||
== | === Shared Reality and Modeling === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/6b-_Wmyfgd4</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/6b-_Wmyfgd4</youtube> | ||
== | == What we can Measure == | ||
=== Senses and Instrumentation === | |||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/uYravgWpl6o</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/uYravgWpl6o</youtube> | ||
== | === Systematic and Statistical Uncertainty === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/d1cXjT6f7fE</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/d1cXjT6f7fE</youtube> | ||
| Line 17: | Line 21: | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/WT4xqZjGWUQ</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/WT4xqZjGWUQ</youtube> | ||
== | == Statements of Uncertainty == | ||
=== Probabilistic Reasoning === | |||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/QMXl0P_xX7Q</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/QMXl0P_xX7Q</youtube> | ||
| Line 23: | Line 29: | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/ydgLEE0dRrQ</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/ydgLEE0dRrQ</youtube> | ||
== | === Calibration of Credence Levels === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/cKFOQcTVps4</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/cKFOQcTVps4</youtube> | ||
== | == Dealing with Noise == | ||
=== Signal and Noise === | |||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/S2AIAv_sTq8</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/S2AIAv_sTq8</youtube> | ||
== | === Finding Patterns in Random Noise === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/VnTzHNRpJaM</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/VnTzHNRpJaM</youtube> | ||
== | == Trade-offs nad Progress == | ||
=== False Positives and Negatives === | |||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/nlMjGMe-Msk</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/nlMjGMe-Msk</youtube> | ||
== | === Scientific Optimism === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/P5phOVIEmJs</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/P5phOVIEmJs</youtube> | ||
== | == Establishing Causation == | ||
=== Correlation and Causation === | |||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/dQiHsFj3zwk</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/dQiHsFj3zwk</youtube> | ||
== | === Hill's Criteria === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/VYLznjXXXCU</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/VYLznjXXXCU</youtube> | ||
== | == Types and Consequences of Causation == | ||
=== Causation, Blame, and Policy === | |||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/sWFCyxmZIpM</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/sWFCyxmZIpM</youtube> | ||
== | === Emergent Phenomena === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/LMZH1wBaZOI</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/LMZH1wBaZOI</youtube> | ||
== | == Describing and Simplifying Reality == | ||
=== Orders of Understanding === | |||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/7Mm2J45inA0</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/7Mm2J45inA0</youtube> | ||
== | === Fermi Problems === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/zD-dX1lY4yY</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/zD-dX1lY4yY</youtube> | ||
== | == Heuristics and Biases == | ||
=== Heuristics === | |||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/KPtvVh903h4</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/KPtvVh903h4</youtube> | ||
== | === Biases === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/_iKuqvhyE6A</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/_iKuqvhyE6A</youtube> | ||
== | == Catching and Countering Biases == | ||
=== Confirmation Bias === | |||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/pyB3WZFTf08</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/pyB3WZFTf08</youtube> | ||
== | === Blinding === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/tovt651VVZ4</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/tovt651VVZ4</youtube> | ||
== | == Science Gone Wrong == | ||
=== Pathological Science === | |||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/oaxHKHpwlxw</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/oaxHKHpwlxw</youtube> | ||
== | === When Is Science Suspect === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/9pcntu0WNBE</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/9pcntu0WNBE</youtube> | ||
== | == Group Evaluations == | ||
=== Wisdom of Crowds and Herd Thinking === | |||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/CngkRkOEVn4</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/CngkRkOEVn4</youtube> | ||
== | == Better Group Decision Making == | ||
=== Denver Bullet Study === | |||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/Qs6kZ0dv_Ec</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/Qs6kZ0dv_Ec</youtube> | ||
== | === Deliberative Polling === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/NcW3LoY3UPs</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/NcW3LoY3UPs</youtube> | ||
== | == The Outlook and Potential of Science == | ||
=== Wrap Up === | |||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/lwSTdhRrp34</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/lwSTdhRrp34</youtube> | ||
== | === Scenario Planning === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/c8roOW8W9bI</youtube> | <youtube>https://youtu.be/c8roOW8W9bI</youtube> | ||
Revision as of 18:16, 30 June 2023
The Purpose and Limitations of Science
Introduction and When Is Science Relevant
What we can Measure
Senses and Instrumentation
Systematic and Statistical Uncertainty
Statements of Uncertainty
Probabilistic Reasoning
Calibration of Credence Levels
Dealing with Noise
Signal and Noise
Finding Patterns in Random Noise
Trade-offs nad Progress
False Positives and Negatives
Scientific Optimism
Establishing Causation
Correlation and Causation
Hill's Criteria
Types and Consequences of Causation
Causation, Blame, and Policy
Emergent Phenomena
Describing and Simplifying Reality
Orders of Understanding
Fermi Problems
Heuristics and Biases
Heuristics
Biases
Catching and Countering Biases
Confirmation Bias
Blinding
Science Gone Wrong
Pathological Science
When Is Science Suspect
Group Evaluations
Wisdom of Crowds and Herd Thinking
Better Group Decision Making
Denver Bullet Study
Deliberative Polling
The Outlook and Potential of Science
Wrap Up
Scenario Planning