Lecture videos: Difference between revisions
From Sense & Sensibility & Science
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=== Introduction and When Is Science Relevant === | === Introduction and When Is Science Relevant === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/LGsn9sq0D_s</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/LGsn9sq0D_s</youtube></center> | ||
=== Shared Reality and Modeling === | === Shared Reality and Modeling === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/6b-_Wmyfgd4</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/6b-_Wmyfgd4</youtube></center> | ||
== What we can Measure == | == What we can Measure == | ||
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=== Senses and Instrumentation === | === Senses and Instrumentation === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/uYravgWpl6o</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/uYravgWpl6o</youtube></center> | ||
=== Systematic and Statistical Uncertainty === | === Systematic and Statistical Uncertainty === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/d1cXjT6f7fE</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/d1cXjT6f7fE</youtube></center> | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/WT4xqZjGWUQ</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/WT4xqZjGWUQ</youtube></center> | ||
== Statements of Uncertainty == | == Statements of Uncertainty == | ||
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=== Probabilistic Reasoning === | === Probabilistic Reasoning === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/QMXl0P_xX7Q</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/QMXl0P_xX7Q</youtube></center> | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/ydgLEE0dRrQ</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/ydgLEE0dRrQ</youtube></center> | ||
=== Calibration of Credence Levels === | === Calibration of Credence Levels === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/cKFOQcTVps4</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/cKFOQcTVps4</youtube></center> | ||
== Dealing with Noise == | == Dealing with Noise == | ||
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=== Signal and Noise === | === Signal and Noise === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/S2AIAv_sTq8</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/S2AIAv_sTq8</youtube></center> | ||
=== Finding Patterns in Random Noise === | === Finding Patterns in Random Noise === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/VnTzHNRpJaM</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/VnTzHNRpJaM</youtube></center> | ||
== Trade-offs nad Progress == | == Trade-offs nad Progress == | ||
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=== False Positives and Negatives === | === False Positives and Negatives === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/nlMjGMe-Msk</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/nlMjGMe-Msk</youtube></center> | ||
=== Scientific Optimism === | === Scientific Optimism === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/P5phOVIEmJs</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/P5phOVIEmJs</youtube></center> | ||
== Establishing Causation == | == Establishing Causation == | ||
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=== Correlation and Causation === | === Correlation and Causation === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/dQiHsFj3zwk</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/dQiHsFj3zwk</youtube></center> | ||
=== Hill's Criteria === | === Hill's Criteria === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/VYLznjXXXCU</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/VYLznjXXXCU</youtube></center> | ||
== Types and Consequences of Causation == | == Types and Consequences of Causation == | ||
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=== Causation, Blame, and Policy === | === Causation, Blame, and Policy === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/sWFCyxmZIpM</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/sWFCyxmZIpM</youtube></center> | ||
=== Emergent Phenomena === | === Emergent Phenomena === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/LMZH1wBaZOI</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/LMZH1wBaZOI</youtube></center> | ||
== Describing and Simplifying Reality == | == Describing and Simplifying Reality == | ||
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=== Orders of Understanding === | === Orders of Understanding === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/7Mm2J45inA0</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/7Mm2J45inA0</youtube></center> | ||
=== Fermi Problems === | === Fermi Problems === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/zD-dX1lY4yY</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/zD-dX1lY4yY</youtube></center> | ||
== Heuristics and Biases == | == Heuristics and Biases == | ||
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=== Heuristics === | === Heuristics === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/KPtvVh903h4</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/KPtvVh903h4</youtube></center> | ||
=== Biases === | === Biases === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/_iKuqvhyE6A</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/_iKuqvhyE6A</youtube></center> | ||
== Catching and Countering Biases == | == Catching and Countering Biases == | ||
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=== Confirmation Bias === | === Confirmation Bias === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/pyB3WZFTf08</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/pyB3WZFTf08</youtube></center> | ||
=== Blinding === | === Blinding === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/tovt651VVZ4</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/tovt651VVZ4</youtube></center> | ||
== Science Gone Wrong == | == Science Gone Wrong == | ||
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=== Pathological Science === | === Pathological Science === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/oaxHKHpwlxw</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/oaxHKHpwlxw</youtube></center> | ||
=== When Is Science Suspect === | === When Is Science Suspect === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/9pcntu0WNBE</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/9pcntu0WNBE</youtube></center> | ||
== Group Evaluations == | == Group Evaluations == | ||
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=== Wisdom of Crowds and Herd Thinking === | === Wisdom of Crowds and Herd Thinking === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/CngkRkOEVn4</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/CngkRkOEVn4</youtube></center> | ||
== Better Group Decision Making == | == Better Group Decision Making == | ||
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=== Denver Bullet Study === | === Denver Bullet Study === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/Qs6kZ0dv_Ec</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/Qs6kZ0dv_Ec</youtube></center> | ||
=== Deliberative Polling === | === Deliberative Polling === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/NcW3LoY3UPs</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/NcW3LoY3UPs</youtube></center> | ||
== The Outlook and Potential of Science == | == The Outlook and Potential of Science == | ||
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=== Scenario Planning === | === Scenario Planning === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/c8roOW8W9bI</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/c8roOW8W9bI</youtube></center> | ||
=== Wrap Up === | === Wrap Up === | ||
<center><youtube>https://youtu.be/lwSTdhRrp34</ | <center><youtube>https://youtu.be/lwSTdhRrp34</youtube></center> | ||