Lecture videos: Difference between revisions
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=== Introduction and When Is Science Relevant === | === Introduction and When Is Science Relevant === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/LGsn9sq0D_s</youtube> | |||
=== Shared Reality and Modeling === | === Shared Reality and Modeling === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/6b-_Wmyfgd4</youtube> | |||
== What we can Measure == | == What we can Measure == | ||
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=== Senses and Instrumentation === | === Senses and Instrumentation === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/uYravgWpl6o</youtube> | |||
=== Systematic and Statistical Uncertainty === | === Systematic and Statistical Uncertainty === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/d1cXjT6f7fE</youtube> | |||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/WT4xqZjGWUQ</youtube> | |||
== Statements of Uncertainty == | == Statements of Uncertainty == | ||
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=== Probabilistic Reasoning === | === Probabilistic Reasoning === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/QMXl0P_xX7Q</youtube> | |||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/ydgLEE0dRrQ</youtube> | |||
=== Calibration of Credence Levels === | === Calibration of Credence Levels === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/cKFOQcTVps4</youtube> | |||
== Dealing with Noise == | == Dealing with Noise == | ||
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=== Signal and Noise === | === Signal and Noise === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/S2AIAv_sTq8</youtube> | |||
=== Finding Patterns in Random Noise === | === Finding Patterns in Random Noise === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/VnTzHNRpJaM</youtube> | |||
== Trade-offs nad Progress == | == Trade-offs nad Progress == | ||
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=== False Positives and Negatives === | === False Positives and Negatives === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/nlMjGMe-Msk</youtube> | |||
=== Scientific Optimism === | === Scientific Optimism === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/P5phOVIEmJs</youtube> | |||
== Establishing Causation == | == Establishing Causation == | ||
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=== Correlation and Causation === | === Correlation and Causation === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/dQiHsFj3zwk</youtube> | |||
=== Hill's Criteria === | === Hill's Criteria === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/VYLznjXXXCU</youtube> | |||
== Types and Consequences of Causation == | == Types and Consequences of Causation == | ||
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=== Causation, Blame, and Policy === | === Causation, Blame, and Policy === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/sWFCyxmZIpM</youtube> | |||
=== Emergent Phenomena === | === Emergent Phenomena === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/LMZH1wBaZOI</youtube> | |||
== Describing and Simplifying Reality == | == Describing and Simplifying Reality == | ||
| Line 77: | Line 77: | ||
=== Orders of Understanding === | === Orders of Understanding === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/7Mm2J45inA0</youtube> | |||
=== Fermi Problems === | === Fermi Problems === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/zD-dX1lY4yY</youtube> | |||
== Heuristics and Biases == | == Heuristics and Biases == | ||
| Line 87: | Line 87: | ||
=== Heuristics === | === Heuristics === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/KPtvVh903h4</youtube> | |||
=== Biases === | === Biases === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/_iKuqvhyE6A</youtube> | |||
== Catching and Countering Biases == | == Catching and Countering Biases == | ||
| Line 97: | Line 97: | ||
=== Confirmation Bias === | === Confirmation Bias === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/pyB3WZFTf08</youtube> | |||
=== Blinding === | === Blinding === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/tovt651VVZ4</youtube> | |||
== Science Gone Wrong == | == Science Gone Wrong == | ||
| Line 107: | Line 107: | ||
=== Pathological Science === | === Pathological Science === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/oaxHKHpwlxw</youtube> | |||
=== When Is Science Suspect === | === When Is Science Suspect === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/9pcntu0WNBE</youtube> | |||
== Group Evaluations == | == Group Evaluations == | ||
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=== Wisdom of Crowds and Herd Thinking === | === Wisdom of Crowds and Herd Thinking === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/CngkRkOEVn4</youtube> | |||
== Better Group Decision Making == | == Better Group Decision Making == | ||
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=== Denver Bullet Study === | === Denver Bullet Study === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/Qs6kZ0dv_Ec</youtube> | |||
=== Deliberative Polling === | === Deliberative Polling === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/NcW3LoY3UPs</youtube> | |||
== The Outlook and Potential of Science == | == The Outlook and Potential of Science == | ||
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=== Scenario Planning === | === Scenario Planning === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/c8roOW8W9bI</youtube> | |||
=== Wrap Up === | === Wrap Up === | ||
<youtube>https://youtu.be/lwSTdhRrp34</youtube> | |||
Revision as of 14:32, 24 July 2023
The Purpose and Limitations of Science
Introduction and When Is Science Relevant
What we can Measure
Senses and Instrumentation
Systematic and Statistical Uncertainty
Statements of Uncertainty
Probabilistic Reasoning
Calibration of Credence Levels
Dealing with Noise
Signal and Noise
Finding Patterns in Random Noise
Trade-offs nad Progress
False Positives and Negatives
Scientific Optimism
Establishing Causation
Correlation and Causation
Hill's Criteria
Types and Consequences of Causation
Causation, Blame, and Policy
Emergent Phenomena
Describing and Simplifying Reality
Orders of Understanding
Fermi Problems
Heuristics and Biases
Heuristics
Biases
Catching and Countering Biases
Confirmation Bias
Blinding
Science Gone Wrong
Pathological Science
When Is Science Suspect
Group Evaluations
Wisdom of Crowds and Herd Thinking
Better Group Decision Making
Denver Bullet Study
Deliberative Polling
The Outlook and Potential of Science
Scenario Planning
Wrap Up