Lecture videos
From Sense & Sensibility & Science
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1.1 Introduction and When Is Science Relevant
2.1 Senses and Instrumentation
2.2 Systematic and Statistical Uncertainty
3.1 Probabilistic Reasoning
3.2 Calibration of Credence Levels
4.1 Signal and Noise
4.2 Finding Patterns in Random Noise
5.1 False Positives and Negatives
5.2 Scientific Optimism
6.1 Correlation and Causation
6.2 Hill's Criteria
7.1 Causation, Blame, and Policy
7.2 Emergent Phenomena
8.1 Orders of Understanding
8.2 Fermi Problems
9.1 Heuristics
9.2 Biases
10.1 Confirmation Bias
10.2 Blinding
11.1 Pathological Science
11.2 When Is Science Suspect
12.1 Wisdom of Crowds and Herd Thinking
13.1 Denver Bullet Study
13.2 Deliberative Polling
14.1 Wrap Up
14.2 Scenario Planning